{"id":52304,"date":"2026-08-25T07:11:45","date_gmt":"2026-08-24T22:11:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/overcentral.com\/ja\/?p=52304"},"modified":"2026-08-25T07:11:45","modified_gmt":"2026-08-24T22:11:45","slug":"jackson-hole-market-preview-52304","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/overcentral.com\/ja\/jackson-hole-market-preview-52304\/","title":{"rendered":"\u30b8\u30e3\u30af\u30bd\u30f3\u30db\u30fc\u30eb\u3092\u524d\u306b\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u9759\u89b3\u3002\u30a6\u30a9\u30fc\u30b7\u30e5\u8b70\u9577\u306e\u8b1b\u6f14\u306f\u767d\u7d19"},"content":{"rendered":"

8\u670824\u65e5\u73fe\u5728\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u8996\u7dda\u306f28\u65e5\u306b\u8feb\u3063\u305f\u30b8\u30e3\u30af\u30bd\u30f3\u30db\u30fc\u30eb\u30fb\u30b7\u30f3\u30dd\u30b8\u30a6\u30e0\u306b\u91d8\u4ed8\u3051\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u6ce8\u76ee\u306f\u30d1\u30a6\u30a8\u30ebFRB\u8b70\u9577<\/a>\u304c\u540c\u4f1a\u8b70\u3067\u884c\u3046\u521d\u306e\u57fa\u8abf\u8b1b\u6f14\u3060\u304c\u3001\u8b70\u9577\u81ea\u3089\u304c7\u6708\u306eFOMC\u5f8c\u306e\u8a18\u8005\u4f1a\u898b\u3067\u300c\u691c\u8a0e\u3059\u3089\u59cb\u3081\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u300d\u3068\u8ff0\u3079\u3001\u5e83\u7bc4\u306a\u30de\u30af\u30ed\u7d4c\u6e08\u306e\u554f\u984c\u63d0\u8d77\u306b\u3068\u3069\u307e\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3057\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u8b1b\u6f14\u5185\u5bb9\u306f\u5b8c\u5168\u306b\u767d\u7d19\u306e\u72b6\u614b\u3060\u3002\u76ee\u5148\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u653f\u7b56\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u306a\u30d2\u30f3\u30c8\u304c\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u308b\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u306f\u6975\u3081\u3066\u4e0d\u900f\u660e\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u5168\u9762\u69d8\u5b50\u898b\u30e0\u30fc\u30c9\u306b\u5305\u307e\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9031\u672b\u306b\u304b\u3051\u3066\u767a\u8868\u3055\u308c\u305f\u7d4c\u6e08\u6307\u6a19\u3084\u901a\u5546\u3092\u3081\u3050\u308b\u52d5\u304d\u306f\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u306b\u8907\u96d1\u306a\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb\u3092\u9001\u3063\u305f\u3002\u7c73\u56fd\u306e8\u6708\u8cfc\u8cb7\u62c5\u5f53\u8005\u666f\u6c17\u6307\u6570\uff08PMI\uff09\u306f\u30b5\u30fc\u30d3\u30b9\u90e8\u9580\u304c56.8\u30682024\u5e7412\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u306e\u9ad8\u6c34\u6e96\u3092\u8a18\u9332\u3057\u3001\u682a\u5f0f\u5e02\u5834\u3092\u62bc\u3057\u4e0a\u3052\u308b\u4e00\u65b9\u3067\u3001\u50b5\u5238\u5e02\u5834\u3067\u306f\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u5727\u529b\u306e\u6301\u7d9a\u304c\u8b66\u6212\u3055\u308c\u5229\u56de\u308a\u304c\u4e0a\u6607\u3002\u682a\u5f0f\u3068\u50b5\u5238\u3067\u771f\u9006\u306e\u53cd\u5fdc\u304c\u898b\u3089\u308c\u305f\u3002\u9031\u672b\u306b\u306f\u7c73\u56fd\u3068\u30ab\u30ca\u30c0\u306e\u901a\u5546\u5354\u8b70\u304c\u6c7a\u88c2\u3057\u300150%\u306e\u8ffd\u52a0\u95a2\u7a0e\u767a\u52d5\u3068\u5831\u5fa9\u95a2\u7a0e\u306e\u5fdc\u916c\u304c\u8868\u9762\u5316\u3002\u5730\u653f\u5b66\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3068\u76f8\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u8981\u56e0\u304c\u7a4d\u307f\u4e0a\u304c\u308b\u69cb\u56f3\u304c\u9bae\u660e\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e3b\u89818\u9298\u67c4\u306e\u5024\u52d5\u304d\u3068\u5e02\u5834\u6982\u6cc1\uff088\u670824\u65e5\uff09<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u9298\u67c4<\/th>\n\u76f4\u8fd1\u4fa1\u683c<\/th>\n\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9<\/th>\n\u4e00\u8a00\u30b3\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
S&P 500<\/td>\n7,674.37<\/td>\n\u4e0a\u6607<\/td>\nPMI\u306e\u5f37\u3055\u3092\u597d\u611f\u3057+0.43%\u3068\u53cd\u767a\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057SOX\u306f\u30de\u30a4\u30ca\u30b9\u570f\u3067\u534a\u5c0e\u4f53\u306f\u51b4\u3048\u305a<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747<\/td>\n66,016.36\u5186<\/td>\n\u4e0b\u843d<\/td>\n\u539f\u6cb9\u9ad8\u3068\u7c73\u5c0f\u58f2\u682a\u5b89\u306e\u6ce2\u53ca\u3067-0.30%\u3068\u53cd\u843d\u3002\u9280\u884c\u682a\u306f\u91d1\u5229\u5148\u9ad8\u89b3\u3067\u5805\u8abf\u3092\u7dad\u6301<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u91d1\uff08Gold\uff09<\/td>\n$4,600\u301c4,620\/oz<\/td>\n\u4fdd\u5408\u3044<\/td>\n4,600\u30c9\u30eb\u53f0\u3067\u9ad8\u5024\u570f\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3002\u9031\u672b\u3082\u5805\u8abf\u3067\u6025\u9a30\u5f8c\u306e\u6c34\u6e96\u304c\u3057\u3063\u304b\u308a\u5b9a\u7740<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u539f\u6cb9\uff08WTI\uff09<\/td>\n$86.6\u301c87\/bbl<\/td>\n\u4fdd\u5408\u3044<\/td>\n86\u301c87\u30c9\u30eb\u53f0\u3067\u9ad8\u6b62\u307e\u308a\u3002\u4e2d\u6771\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u5727\u529b\u5f37\u5316\u3092\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u307f\u4e0b\u5024\u306e\u5805\u3044\u63a8\u79fb\u304c\u7d99\u7d9a<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
BTC<\/td>\n$74,000\u301c78,000<\/td>\n\u4fdd\u5408\u3044<\/td>\n\u9031\u672b\u306b\u9ad8\u5024\u3092\u66f4\u65b0\u3057\u305f\u5f8c\u3084\u3084\u51b7\u5374\u30024,000\u30c9\u30eb\u5e45\u306e\u8352\u3044\u5024\u52d5\u304d\u3067\u65b9\u5411\u611f\u3092\u6a21\u7d22<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
ETH<\/td>\n$2,300\u301c2,500<\/td>\n\u4fdd\u5408\u3044<\/td>\n2,500\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u8a66\u3057\u305f\u5f8c\u306b\u62bc\u3057\u623b\u3055\u308c\u308b\u5c55\u958b\u3002\u4e0a\u6607\u5f8c\u306e\u5024\u5e45\u62e1\u5927\u304c\u9bae\u660e\u306b\u306a\u308b\u5c40\u9762<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
SOL<\/td>\n$90\u301c96<\/td>\n\u4e0a\u6607<\/td>\n\u4e00\u664296\u30c9\u30eb\u307e\u3067\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u7bc0\u76ee\u306e100\u30c9\u30eb\u304c\u8996\u91ce\u306b\u30028\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u304b\u308920\u30c9\u30eb\u8d85\u306e\u4e0a\u6607<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
XRP<\/td>\n$1.40\u301c1.50<\/td>\n\u4e0a\u6607<\/td>\n1.50\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u3046\u304b\u304c\u3046\u6c34\u6e96\u307e\u3067\u7d9a\u4f38\u3002\u524d\u9031\u306e1\u30c9\u30eb\u5272\u308c\u5bf8\u524d\u304b\u3089\u6700\u3082\u5f37\u3044\u623b\u308a\u5e45<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u3053\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3001\u682a\u5f0f\u30fb\u5546\u54c1\u30fb\u6697\u53f7\u8cc7\u7523\u306e\u9593\u3067\u65b9\u5411\u611f\u304c\u3070\u3089\u3064\u304f\u4e2d\u3001\u3059\u3079\u3066\u306e\u8996\u7dda\u306f28\u65e5\u306e\u30b8\u30e3\u30af\u30bd\u30f3\u30db\u30fc\u30eb\u306b\u96c6\u4e2d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3067\u306f\u3001\u4eca\u9031\u306e\u5e02\u5834\u3092\u5f62\u4f5c\u308b3\u3064\u306e\u91cd\u8981\u30c8\u30d4\u30c3\u30af\u3092\u8a73\u7d30\u306b\u5206\u6790\u3059\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30b8\u30e3\u30af\u30bd\u30f3\u30db\u30fc\u30eb\u306e\u8b1b\u6f14\u5185\u5bb9\u306f\u300c\u767d\u7d19\u300d\u2014\u2014\u91d1\u878d\u653f\u7b56\u306e\u30d2\u30f3\u30c8\u306f\u51fa\u308b\u306e\u304b<\/h2>\n

\u4eca\u9031\u6700\u5927\u306e\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8\u306f\u300128\u65e5\u306b\u958b\u50ac\u3055\u308c\u308b\u30b8\u30e3\u30af\u30bd\u30f3\u30db\u30fc\u30eb\u30fb\u30b7\u30f3\u30dd\u30b8\u30a6\u30e0\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u30d1\u30a6\u30a8\u30ebFRB\u8b70\u9577\u306e\u521d\u306e\u57fa\u8abf\u8b1b\u6f14\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u305d\u306e\u4e2d\u8eab\u3092\u5de1\u3063\u3066\u306f\u7570\u4f8b\u306e\u4e0d\u900f\u660e\u611f\u304c\u6f02\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u8b70\u9577\u81ea\u8eab\u304c7\u6708\u306eFOMC\u5f8c\u306e\u8a18\u8005\u4f1a\u898b\u3067\u3001\u3053\u306e\u8b1b\u6f14\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u300c\u691c\u8a0e\u3059\u3089\u59cb\u3081\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u300d\u3068\u660e\u304b\u3057\u3001\u5e83\u7bc4\u306a\u30de\u30af\u30ed\u7d4c\u6e08\u306e\u554f\u984c\u63d0\u8d77\u3092\u884c\u3046\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3057\u305f\u304b\u3089\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3055\u3089\u306b\u3001\u30b7\u30f3\u30dd\u30b8\u30a6\u30e0\u306e\u524d\u306b\u7acb\u3061\u4e0a\u3052\u3089\u308c\u305f\u300c\u30bf\u30b9\u30af\u30d5\u30a9\u30fc\u30b9\u300d\u3068\u306e\u30b3\u30df\u30e5\u30cb\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u5185\u5bb9\u304c\u8b1b\u6f14\u306b\u53cd\u6620\u3055\u308c\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3082\u793a\u5506\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001\u8b1b\u6f14\u304c\u76ee\u5148\u306e\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u6642\u671f\u3084\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u5e45\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u306a\u30d2\u30f3\u30c8\u3092\u63d0\u4f9b\u3059\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3068\u3082\u4e2d\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306a\u7d4c\u6e08\u69cb\u9020\u306e\u67a0\u7d44\u307f\u8ad6\u306b\u7d42\u59cb\u3059\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3001\u73fe\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u306f\u5168\u304f\u898b\u901a\u305b\u306a\u3044\u3002\u7d50\u679c\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u653f\u7b56\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u624b\u304c\u304b\u308a\u304c\u4f55\u3082\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u306a\u3044\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3082\u5341\u5206\u306b\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u4e0d\u900f\u660e\u611f\u3092\u53cd\u6620\u3057\u3001\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u76f8\u5834\u306f\u5c0f\u52d5\u304d\u306b\u7d42\u59cb\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u300221\u65e5\u306e\u6b27\u5dde\u5e02\u5834\u5e8f\u76e4\u306b\u306f\u4e00\u6642158\u518630\u92ad\u53f0\u307e\u3067\u4e0b\u843d\u3059\u308b\u5834\u9762\u304c\u3042\u3063\u305f\u304c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u306f\u4e0b\u3052\u5e45\u3092\u7e2e\u5c0f\u3057\u3001159\u5186\u3061\u3087\u3046\u3069\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u9031\u3092\u7d42\u3048\u305f\u3002\u672c\u65e524\u65e5\u306e\u4e88\u60f3\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u306f158\u518650\u92ad\u301c159\u518640\u92ad\u3068\u3055\u308c\u3001\u76ee\u7acb\u3063\u305f\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8\u304c\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u304b\u3089\u3001\u65b9\u5411\u611f\u306e\u4e4f\u3057\u3044\u5024\u52d5\u304d\u304c\u60f3\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u30b8\u30e3\u30af\u30bd\u30f3\u30db\u30fc\u30eb\u901a\u904e\u307e\u3067\u3001\u9759\u89b3\u59ff\u52e2\u3092\u5d29\u3055\u306a\u3044\u516c\u7b97\u304c\u5927\u304d\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n

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21\u65e5\u306b\u767a\u8868\u3055\u308c\u305f8\u6708\u306e\u7c73PMI\u901f\u5831\u5024\u306f\u3001\u30b5\u30fc\u30d3\u30b9\u90e8\u9580\u304c56.8\u30682024\u5e7412\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u306e\u9ad8\u6c34\u6e96\u3092\u8a18\u9332\u3057\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u306b\u5927\u304d\u306a\u30a4\u30f3\u30d1\u30af\u30c8\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u305f\u3002\u7c73\u666f\u6c17\u306e\u5e95\u5805\u3055\u304c\u78ba\u8a8d\u3055\u308c\u305f\u5f62\u3060\u304c\u3001\u682a\u5f0f\u5e02\u5834\u3068\u50b5\u5238\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u53cd\u5fdc\u306f\u6b63\u53cd\u5bfe\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3002\u682a\u5f0f\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u666f\u6c17\u306e\u5f37\u3055\u3092\u597d\u611f\u3057\u3001S&P500\u3084\u30ca\u30b9\u30c0\u30c3\u30af\u306a\u3069\u4e3b\u89813\u6307\u6a19\u304c\u63c3\u3063\u3066\u4e0a\u6607\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u3001\u50b5\u5238\u5e02\u5834\u3067\u306f\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u5727\u529b\u306e\u6301\u7d9a\u304c\u6539\u3081\u3066\u610f\u8b58\u3055\u308c\u3001\u5229\u56de\u308a\u304c\u4e0a\u6607\u3059\u308b\u7d50\u679c\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

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